Minnesota State
W-L: (18-19) PR = 96.5595Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 919 A RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 3- 0 920 A RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 5- 3 1003 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 4- 0 1004 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 3- 2 1010 H St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 1- 2 1011 H St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 1017 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 0- 5 1018 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 1- 3 1025 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 0- 4 1026 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 1031 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 2- 2 1101 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 2- 0 1114 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 5 1115 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 3- 7 1121 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 3- 1 1122 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 4- 1 1128 H Dartmouth CAC ( 5-23, 93.8) 5- 2 1129 H Dartmouth CAC ( 5-23, 93.8) 5- 0 1129 H Sacred Heart EWHA (14-27, 93.3) 2- 0 1205 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 0- 4 1206 H St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 3- 2 109 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 3- 1 110 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 3- 4 116 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 4- 7 117 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4 123 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 124 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 0- 3 130 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 3- 0 131 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 1- 2 206 A St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 1- 5 207 A St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 4- 1 213 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 4 214 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 220 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 5- 2 221 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 4- 3 227 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 0- 2 228 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3 301 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 2- 1 305 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 2- 7
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
919 A RPI 3- 0 3 3 0.26
920 A RPI 5- 3 2 3 -0.74
1003 H Lindenwood 4- 0 4 2 1.77
1004 H Lindenwood 3- 2 1 2 -1.23
1010 H St. Thomas 1- 2 -1 1 -1.79
1011 H St. Thomas 3- 0 3 1 + 2.21
1017 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.48
1018 A Minnesota Duluth 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.48
1025 A Wisconsin 0- 4 -4 -4 -0.36
1026 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.36
1031 H Bemidji State 2- 2 0 2 -1.92
1101 H Bemidji State 2- 0 2 2 0.08
1114 A Ohio State 2- 5 -3 -4 0.73
1115 A Ohio State 3- 7 -4 -4 -0.27
1121 A Minnesota 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.03
1122 H Minnesota 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.25
1128 H Dartmouth 5- 2 3 3 -0.18
1129 H Dartmouth 5- 0 5 3 1.82
1129 H Sacred Heart 2- 0 2 4 -1.69
1205 H St. Cloud State 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.44
1206 H St. Cloud State 3- 2 1 0 0.56
109 H Minnesota 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.25
110 A Minnesota 3- 4 -1 -2 1.03
116 H Ohio State 4- 7 -3 -3 -0.05
117 H Ohio State 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.05
124 H Minnesota Duluth 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.27
130 A Bemidji State 3- 0 3 1 1.87
131 A Bemidji State 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.13
206 A St. Cloud State 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.65
207 A St. Cloud State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.35
213 H Wisconsin 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.15
214 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.15
220 A St. Thomas 5- 2 3 0 + 2.99
221 A St. Thomas 4- 3 1 0 0.99
227 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 2 -2 -2 -0.48
228 A Minnesota Duluth 2- 3 -1 -2 0.52
301 A Minnesota Duluth 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.52
305 A Wisconsin 2- 7 -5 -4 -1.36
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1026 A Wisconsin 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.36 1205 H St. Cloud State 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.44 1017 A Minnesota Duluth 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.48 124 H Minnesota Duluth 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.27 131 A Bemidji State 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.13 206 A St. Cloud State 1- 5 -4 0 - -3.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A Minnesota 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.03 1122 H Minnesota 4- 1 3 -1 ++ 4.25 1011 H St. Thomas 3- 0 3 1 + 2.21 109 H Minnesota 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.25 207 A St. Cloud State 4- 1 3 0 + 3.35 220 A St. Thomas 5- 2 3 0 + 2.99 301 A Minnesota Duluth 2- 1 1 -2 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 3- 0 -6.47 1.53 0.39 0.96 3.71
3 A RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 5- 3 -6.47 1.53 0.39 0.96 3.71
3 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 4- 0 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 0.96 4.70
3 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 3- 2 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 0.96 4.70
3 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 1- 2 -3.74 4.26 -0.39 0.96 -1.99
3 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 3- 0 -3.74 4.26 -0.39 0.96 7.46
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 0- 5 -2.22 5.79 0.39 0.96 -0.88
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.22 5.79 0.39 0.96 -0.88
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 0- 4 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.96 -0.14
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 0- 8 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.96 -0.14
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 2- 2 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 0.96 0.00
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 2- 0 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 0.96 5.29
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 5 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.96 -0.19
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 3- 7 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.96 -0.19
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 3- 1 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.96 12.90
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 4- 1 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 0.96 11.39
3 H Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.8) 5- 2 -6.13 1.88 -0.39 0.96 2.86
3 H Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.8) 5- 0 -6.13 1.88 -0.39 0.96 2.86
3 H Sacred Heart (14-27, 93.3) 2- 0 -6.64 1.37 -0.39 0.96 1.88
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 0- 4 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.96 -1.82
3 H St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 3- 2 -3.39 4.62 -0.39 0.96 8.14
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 3- 1 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 0.96 11.39
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 3- 4 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.96 -0.63
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 4- 7 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 0.96 -0.19
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 4 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 0.96 -0.19
3 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 0- 3 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 0.96 -1.26
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 3- 0 -4.87 3.14 0.39 0.96 6.80
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 1- 2 -4.87 3.14 0.39 0.96 -2.16
3 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 1- 5 -3.39 4.62 0.39 0.96 -1.44
3 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 4- 1 -3.39 4.62 0.39 0.96 9.66
3 H Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 4 -0.09 7.91 -0.39 0.96 -0.23
3 H Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 -0.09 7.91 -0.39 0.96 -0.23
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 5- 2 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.96 8.98
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.96 8.98
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 0- 2 -2.22 5.79 0.39 0.96 -0.88
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.22 5.79 0.39 0.96 -0.88
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 2- 1 -2.22 5.79 0.39 0.96 11.91
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 2- 7 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.96 -0.14
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112.82
|
winning pts = 127.2949 losing points = -14.4743
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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